Sunday, January 11, 2015

Predictions - 2015

Last year I predicted that there would not be over 100 closings in the Skaneateles area of the multiple listing service.  I was accurate up to December 10th, when there was a sudden flurry of activity and we went over the 100 mark to 107.  I like being wrong!  It was true that we did not have the record-breaking year of 2012 (129 closings) or 2013 (116 closings), but over 100 is still excellent.

My rationale for such a prediction still exists.  The rates are up a bit, the number of homes on the market are down, and that combination should make for a slightly less bullish year.  Which it did.  Today the rate for a 30-year mortgage is an easy 3.73% compared with last year's rate of 4.51%.  The years before we were seeing around or under 3.0%.  The number of active listings - an incredible 76!  We haven't seen numbers like that for years.

Some of the explanation for this is of course the winter doldrums.  Last year was horrible - no one wanted to go outside for months and months.  Selling waterfront is difficult this time of year - but if you like the home in January you will love it in July!

So my prediction stands another year - under 100 homes will be sold in the Skaneateles area of the multiple listing service.  We just don't have the numbers....  Now - go out there and prove me wrong again!

And remember, because of the very few homes on the market - if you see it and like it, buy it!  You may not get a second chance.

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